A winning streak feels convincing, but it can inflate odds beyond fair value....

https://extra-wiki.win/index.php/What%E2%80%99s_a_Realistic_Way_to_Stop_Chasing_Headlines_in_Betting%3F

A winning streak feels convincing, but it can inflate odds beyond fair value. Good team vs good bet? Sometimes not. Think of a +130 opener shrinking to -140. That shift tells a story: the market’s pricing momentum, not just skill