A winning streak feels convincing, but it can inflate odds beyond fair value....

https://paxtonsexpertop-ed.zenbloomer.com/posts/how-do-travel-and-rotation-change-a-team-from-weekend-to-weekend

A winning streak feels convincing, but it can inflate odds beyond fair value. Good team vs good bet? Sometimes not. Think of a +130 opener shrinking to -140. That shift tells a story: the market’s pricing momentum, not just skill